Box Office Predictions (21-23rd June)
Another week of new releases and these won’t be any easier, let’s hope I get lucky and make some good predictions. This weekend we have two releases, first is Monsters University a highly anticipated sequel and second is World War Z a new Zombie film starring Brad Pitt. But we also have Man of Steel fighting to keep his high flying position at number one. Will Pixar take the win? Will World War Z shock us all or will Man of Steel keep the high ground? Go watch some movies and let’s look at the breakdowns.
Last weekend we saw an incredible opening weekend for Man of Steel earning itself a total of $116M over the 3 day weekend, but by the rule of the box office this figure should be around half the following weekend however the film has been earning impressive numbers throughout the week making over $11M each day, so am predicting $70M. This is the End will probably take a big drop but maybe people who saw Man of Steel last Weekend will see this now, who knows? So am predicting $12M. Now You See Me will start bottoming out so I think it might do $5M. I think the new films will take most of the money this weekend but they’ll have to fight the man of steel to do so.
Damage Estimates To Metropolis In Man of Steel
Mike Wazowski and James P. Sullivan are an inseparable pair, but that wasn’t always the case. From the moment these two mismatched monsters met they couldn’t stand each other. “Monsters University” unlocks the door to how Mike and Sulley overcame their differences and became the best of friends.
Depending on where you look you can find predictions ranging from $45M -$80M for this film. It has benefits and strengths but it also has a lot working against it. My problem comes from a couple of factors, one its 12 years after the first film and long gaps between sequels hurts the box office big time, we even saw this with Star Trek Into Darkness and that was only 4 years. Other problems are the film being set at University which is something that may help or hinder, kids who saw the first film will now be in university but they aren’t this films target audience. The films strength comes from a successful first film both in box office and critically, but it also has the Pixar brand which is mostly trusted to make good films. My prediction is $65M. It could easily make more though.
World War Z
The story revolves around United Nations employee Gerry Lane (Pitt), who traverses the world in a race against time to stop a pandemic that is toppling armies and governments and threatening to decimate humanity itself.
I don’t know where to begin with this, it could make any amount. I don’t even know how much it would need to be profitable. I know they say $200M budget but it’s changed so much it’s hard to say what the total is. It’s based off a popular book but isn’t anything like it so that really doesn’t matter. It’s a Zombie film but not really a horror film but more of an action film so again that cancels itself out. Then again Brad Pitt stars and he will probably be the biggest draw over all. I’ll be seeing but then again I watch most things. My prediction is $40M.
- Man of Steel: -$70M
- Monsters University: -$65M
- World War Z: -$40M
- This is the End: -$12M
- Now You See Me: -$6M
- Fast & Furious 6 : -$6M
- The Purge: -$4M
- The Internship: -$3M
- Epic: -$3M
- Star Trek Into Darkness: -$2.5M
Well that’s my views. Now what do you think about this weekend and its new releases?